TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF

Discussion, updates and tracking about Hurricanes, Tropical Storms and Depressions that may be related to Florida.
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Tue Aug 10, 2010 7:07 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
703 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2010

..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...

AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING ARE IN
EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES
IN THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0N...LONGITUDE 84.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF MOBILE AL...OR ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FL.
STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 35
MPH.

SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE HAS FORMED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...AND WILL MOVE NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY AND MAKE LANDFALL
SOMEWHERE ALONG THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR INLAND LOCATIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH HIGH WIND...BUT FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS AND PLACES PRONE TO
COASTAL FLOODING...THEY ARE ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH HIGH WIND AND STORM
SURGE. FOR THE MARINE WATERS...TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH WIND AND DANGEROUS SEAS. TROPICAL STORMS HAVE
WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...WHICH EQUATES TO 34 TO 63 KNOTS. TROPICAL
DEPRESSIONS HAVE WINDS OF LESS THAN 39 MPH OR 33 KNOTS.

HEAVY RAIN...TORNADOES...AND WATERSPOUTS ACCOMPANY TROPICAL CYCLONES.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT THE STATED CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS FOR THE SPECIFIED AREAS. IN ORDER
TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND THE
TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE EVENTS.

&&

NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MOBILE SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE
EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON
THE AREA.
..TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

..NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. A MORE DETAILED STATEMENT
WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.
Kenny Wilder
NavarreBeachLife.com ~ Owner/Administrator
Constitutional Conservative
Florida Master Naturalist ~ Coastal Systems and Wetlands
Forum Rules and Regulations (Terms of Service)
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Kenny Wilder
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Tue Aug 10, 2010 7:09 pm

From: Santa Rosa County

Posted: Tuesday, August 10, 2010 at 7:05 PM

TROPICAL STORM WARNING

A tropical storm warning has been issued for Santa Rosa County effective until Saturday. Monitor the local media for updates.
Kenny Wilder
NavarreBeachLife.com ~ Owner/Administrator
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Florida Master Naturalist ~ Coastal Systems and Wetlands
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Wed Aug 11, 2010 6:47 am

AccuWeather

Tropical Depression Five Heading towards the Central Gulf Coast

As of 5 a.m. EDT Wednesday, Tropical Depression 5 has a center of circulation located near 26.8 north and 85.1 west, or about 200 miles to the south of Apalachicola, Fla. Maximum sustained winds are still around 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. This depression is moving to the northwest around 10 mph and is expected to continue this general movement over the next 12-24 hours with a gradual increase in forward speed. The depression is moving over very warm waters with temperatures in the mid-80s, but the system is also encountering some wind shear which is keeping the system rather disorganized at this point. We still expect some moderate strengthening over the next 12-24 hours, which would bring the system up to a tropical storm. While we do not expect this storm to intensify into a hurricane at this point, all interests along the Gulf Coast region need to pay close attention to this storm. Outer rain bands will begin to affect the central Gulf Coast later today with gusty winds and heavy downpours.

Tropical storm warnings remain in effect for the northern Gulf Coast from Destin, Fla., to Intracoastal City, La., including Lake Pontchartrain and New Orleans.
Kenny Wilder
NavarreBeachLife.com ~ Owner/Administrator
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Florida Master Naturalist ~ Coastal Systems and Wetlands
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Wed Aug 11, 2010 3:33 pm

AccuWeather

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
202 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2010

..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5 STILL NOT WELL ORGANIZED...

AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...MOBILE AND BALDWIN IN ALABAMA...AND ESCAMBIA
SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA IN FLORIDA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 PM CDT...THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS
CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST. THIS WAS
ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA...OR ABOUT 175
MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. STORM MOTION WAS TO THE NORTHWEST
AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5 IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST
TOWARDS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY. SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE BEFORE THE DEPRESSION
REACHES THE COAST.

PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN PASSING
SQUALLS...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE COASTAL REGION BY LATE
EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY. HEAVY TROPICAL CYCLONE RAINBANDS WILL
SET UP ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM MOVES INLAND
OVER LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 8 INCHES IN BANDS OF
PERSISTENT HEAVIER RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTH CENTRAL
GULF COAST REGION.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE MOVES INTO THE AREA...THE MAIN THREAT
WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. OTHER THREATS WILL
INCLUDE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES AND MINOR STORM
SURGE FLOODING LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME
IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR
SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 5 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
..TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT
FRIDAY...
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

..NEW INFORMATION...
NO NEW OR SIGNIFICANT INFORMATIONAL CHANGES INCLUDED WITH THIS
STATEMENT.

..PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE ONSET OF
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME
DANGEROUS WITH PASSING STORM SQUALLS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS
WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND IN PASSING SQUALLS. IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE
HOME...CONSIDER LEAVING IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER...ESPECIALLY
IF IT IS SURROUNDED CLOSELY BY TREES.

&&

..WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PASSING RAINBANDS AND SQUALLS TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AS THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION MAKES LANDFALL TO THE WEST OVER
LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGHER TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITH THESE PASSING SQUALLS WILL BE NEAR THE COASTLINE.

..STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE LATEST SURGE FORECASTS INDICATE COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BE
MINOR. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WILL BE
POSSIBLE TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE BROAD CENTER OF CIRCULATION MAKES
LANDFALL. MOST COASTAL LOCATIONS ACROSS ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE WILL SEE MINOR STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 1 FOOT
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY INCLUDE THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...THE
HIGHWAY 90 CAUSEWAY BETWEEN MOBILE AND SPANISH FORT...AND THE FORT
PICKENS AREA WEST OF PENSACOLA.

..INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY RAINBANDS WILL SET UP ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE CENTER OF
THIS SYSTEM MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO
NEAR 8 INCHES IN BANDS OF PERSISTENT HEAVIER RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

..TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IN STRONGER
SQUALLS AND RAINBANDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE BROAD
CENTER OF CIRCULATION MAKES LANDFALL OVER LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.

..COASTAL HAZARDS...
AS LARGER SWELLS MOVE NORTH TOWARDS THE COAST...THE SURF WILL BECOME
ROUGH AND THE WAVES WILL BREAK CLOSER TO THE BEACHES. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
IN THE SURF ZONE...WITH HIGHER WAVE RUN-UP AT THE BEACHES RESULTING
IN MINOR BEACH EROSION LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
Kenny Wilder
NavarreBeachLife.com ~ Owner/Administrator
Constitutional Conservative
Florida Master Naturalist ~ Coastal Systems and Wetlands
Forum Rules and Regulations (Terms of Service)
Are You Going to Heaven?
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Kenny Wilder
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Wed Aug 11, 2010 3:40 pm

AccuWeather

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
335 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2010

..HEAVY RAINS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD THE GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...


THE BROAD CENTER OF A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
MIGRATE NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE GULF AND SLOWLY INLAND THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. WITH THE FORECAST CALLING FOR A SLOW MOVEMENT...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN BANDS...TO REPEATEDLY
MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
EASTWARD INTO THE COASTAL COUNTIES THROUGH FRIDAY. AS SOILS BECOME
SATURATED THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING WILL INCREASE OVER THE WATCH
AREA.
..FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA
ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE AND STONE.

* FROM MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* THE HEAVIER RAINS ARE POSSIBLE GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
WIGGINS MISSISSIPPI TO CITRONELLE...BAY MINETTE ALABAMA TO
CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. LATEST FORECASTS CALL FOR STORM TOTAL RAINS OF 3
TO 5 INCHES DURING THE DURATION OF WATCH. A FEW AREAS MAY SEE LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF AROUND 6 INCHES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&
Kenny Wilder
NavarreBeachLife.com ~ Owner/Administrator
Constitutional Conservative
Florida Master Naturalist ~ Coastal Systems and Wetlands
Forum Rules and Regulations (Terms of Service)
Are You Going to Heaven?
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Wed Aug 11, 2010 4:11 pm

There is a little more wind right now and it has become overcast. Nothing more than a relief from the ehat at the moment.
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