Tropical Storm Bonnie

Discussion, updates and tracking about Hurricanes, Tropical Storms and Depressions that may be related to Florida.
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dlhamann
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:32 am

Hello!

Well our vacation is finally upon us and we're leaving Texas for Navarre at 5 am tomorrow! However, we know Bonnie is heading in and are wondering what the local forecasts are saying. I'm worried. We're thinking we need to leave tonight to get ahead of it and take the northernmost route instead of I-10. Otherwise, if we push the trip off a day, we'll still have to drive through the mess is Northern LA and Texas and we could be stalled until Monday. I hope this storm just hurries up so we can enjoy the rest of next week!

Laura
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Kenny Wilder
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:33 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1057 AM CDT FRI JUL 23 2010

..TROPICAL STORM BONNIE EXPECTED TO EMERGE INTO EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO LATER TODAY...

AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPPER MOBILE...UPPER
BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...INLAND ESCAMBIA...
COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.


FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.4N...LONGITUDE 80.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 550 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FL...OR ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
DESTIN FL. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON...EMERGING OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. BONNIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
MOVING TO THE WEST...NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE
TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND
MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING
IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A
WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST
STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY
AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

&&

NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 500 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
..TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT SUNDAY...
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

..NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER.

..PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 42
PERCENT.

&&

..STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BONNIE'S GREATEST SURGE EFFECTS WILL BE EXPERIENCED LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE LOCALLY
WILL BE MID EVENING SATURDAY. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS STILL
POSSIBLE ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTLINES...AND
ALONG EASTWARD FACING SHORELINES. THIS SURGE WILL ADD TO THE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...CREATING ABOVE NORMAL TIDES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR A LONG PERIOD OF INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS UNTIL THE
ONSHORE WINDS SUBSIDE.

LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE COAST WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE AS STORM
TIDES MAY REACH 4 TO 5 FEET. REMEMBER...STORM TIDE IS THE STORM SURGE
PLUS THE ACTUAL TIDE.

&&
MEDLIN
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:41 pm

Bonnie About to Move into the Gulf of Mexico

As of 2:00 PM EDT, Tropical Storm Bonnie was located near 25.8 north, 81.1 west, or approximately 48 miles east-southeast of Naples, Fla. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph but only in a couple of rain bands. Bonnie was moving west-northwest at 18 mph. The central pressure was 1008 mb, or 29.77 inches of mercury, unchanged over the last 6 hours.

Tropical storm warnings remain in effect for the northwestern Bahamas, as well as for South Florida from Deerfield Beach on the east coast southward through the Florida Keys then northward on the west coast as far north as Englewood. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the east coast of Florida from north of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet. The previous tropical storm watches for the northern Gulf Coast from Destin, Fla., to Morgan City, La. including Lake Pontchartrain have been updated to tropical storm warnings. Warning will probably be lifted later this afternoon for the Bahamas and perhaps the southeast coast of Florida as Bonnie moves away from the Florida peninsula.

Bonnie will be no stronger than a weak tropical storm as it moves from southern most Florida into the eastern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon. Tropical storm-force wind gusts are expected only in rainbands. Bonnie's interaction with land and strong shear could cause it to weaken to a depression late this afternoon or this evening.

Locally heavy rain and windy conditions will have been diminishing across the central Bahamas, and conditions will begin to improve across the northwestern Bahamas. Heavy rain squalls will move across South Florida, including the Keys, the rest of this afternoon then taper off tonight. Rainfall totals of 2-4 inches will occur, with local amounts over 6 inches in places.

Bonnie will move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by this evening. As Bonnie moves over the open waters of the Gulf of Mexico slow strengthening may occur, though we believe at this time that this system will remain a tropical storm. A storm in the high levels of the atmosphere to the west of Bonnie will continue to exert strong south to southeast winds causing shear over the storm through Saturday. This shear will limit strengthening. In fact if the shear becomes too strong Bonnie could weaken to just a tropical wave. If this happens winds will remain well below tropical storm strength. Bonnie will continue to move through the Gulf of Mexico and is expected to make landfall over southeast Louisiana early Sunday morning as a tropical storm or depression. Heavy rain and gusty winds will buffet southern and southeast Louisiana later Saturday, Saturday night into Sunday morning. The remnants of Bonnie will become a tropical rainstorm on Sunday and turn more northward across northern Louisiana and into Arkansas on the western periphery of the large upper level high pressure area over the southeast U.S. .

Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, an area of low pressure that was over the western Bay of Campeche has moved inland over eastern Mexico and will be a heavy rain producer over parts of east and northeast Mexico. This could further agitate the already swollen reservoirs and rivers of northeast Mexico from previous tropical rainfall from tropical Alex and tropical depression Two a couple of weeks ago. This could also bring more water into the Rio Grande causing more action to be taken to keep that river in check.

Tropical waves along 32 west and 51 west remain disorganized and show no signs of development at this time.

By AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski

Posted: 23-JUL-2010 1:55pm EDT
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dlhamann
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 3:07 pm

THanks! We called Dale Petersen and they said come on down so we're hoping for the best!! ANd hopefully this storm won't wash any oil in.
beachgirl
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 5:03 pm

The storm is breaking up as it does over South Florida. It should gain some strength in the Gulf but should not be more than a tropical storm. We expect some winds and higher than normal seas. We do not expect it to be bad. Not sure where in TX you are in but it is like a bad rain storm. If you are here when the weather hits, you will be ok. Driving through it may not be to much fun. Even though it looks like we are not getting the direct hit, we will still see a little wind and rain.

Once the storm comes on shore, everything should clear up and you should have a good week. Sunday is suppose to be a lot nicer.
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Mark B.M.
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Location: Navarre

Sat Jul 24, 2010 9:43 am

Statement as of 9:02 AM CDT on July 24, 2010


... Tropical Storm Wind Warning now in effect until 7 am CDT
Sunday...
... Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect...

... New information...
tropical storm warnings will soon be discontinued due to Bonnie
remaining a depression

... Precautionary/preparedness actions...
precautionary/preparedness actions...

None.


... Winds...
as Tropical Depression Bonnie approaches... 30 to 35 mph sustained
winds are expected to begin along the immediate coast by early
afternoon. They will subside around dark first in the east... and then
further westward as the evening progresses. Strongest winds should
remain along the coastal sections.

... Storm surge and storm tide...
the impact from combined storm surge and tide waters is expected to
be minimal. Bonnie's greatest surge effects will be experienced
today as the time of astronomical high tide locally will be mid
morning. A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible along the Alabama
and northwest Florida coastlines... and along eastward facing
shorelines. This surge will add to the normal tide levels... creating
above normal tides. Thus... the potential exists for a long period of
inundation of low lying areas until the onshore winds subside by late
Saturday evening.

... Coastal hazards...
do not go into the surf over the next two days! The rip current risk
will be high through the weekend. Minor beach erosion is expected to
occur from the west end of Dauphin Island Alabama to Destin Florida.




beachgirl
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Sun Jul 25, 2010 9:56 am

Bonnie was a non-issue. I was on the boat all day yesterday and it never rained on us. The wind was up a little in the morning but not as bad in the afternoon. Had a good day at Crab Island and Destin Harbor.
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