Atlantic Hurricane Brewing?

Discussion, updates and tracking about Hurricanes, Tropical Storms and Depressions that may be related to Florida.
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PensacolaKid
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Tue Aug 18, 2015 12:50 pm

I don't know but the latest Tropical Depression well off the coast of Africa is gaining strength and looking like a storm a brewin'. Hundreds and hundreds of miles from the Gulf. However, if I had a choice, I would like to see this grow and do what hurricanes do to cool things off, lose strength as it enters the Gulf and come into Matagorda Bay area along the Texas coast as a Tropical Storm and have it sit along the coast for a few days as a depression with a lot of rain. We are so incredibly hot and dry now and we desperately need the rain and a break from the heat. Although unlike the Florida Panhandle, a hurricane of significance along the Texas coast would not do much to make it look much worse than it already does.
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marko
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Thu Aug 20, 2015 9:07 am

You may get your wish. El Nino expected to cut it down some. Still early though.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 834.shtml?
TROPICAL STORM DANNY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
500 AM AST THU AUG 20 2015

The cloud pattern resembles a tropical cyclone much more than 12
hours ago. An irregular Central Dense Overcast(CDO) has formed, and
the center continues to be remarkably well depicted in microwave
images. In fact, it has a much better structure than earlier. The
outflow remains fair. Dvorak numbers suggest that the winds are
still 45 kt. Danny has the opportunity to strengthen a little during
the next 2 to 3 days while embedded within very light shear. Models
in general, however, no longer intensify the cyclone as much as they
did in earlier runs and, in fact, the GFS and ECMWF weaken Danny to
a tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean Sea. The NHC forecast calls
for some intensification for the next 3 days, and calls for slight
weakening as Danny encounters high shear and dry air in the eastern
Caribbean Sea.
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bjrichus
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Thu Aug 20, 2015 7:56 pm

marko wrote:Still early though.
Yes indeed, it is still early. They have reclassified it as a hurricane now.

Come back and look at it in the middle of next week to know more about its actual path.

Here is an interesting blog post with a good map about half way down, showing wind speeds by date:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... rynum=3079

But its way too soon to predict anything beyond Tuesday...
bjrichus (also known as Brian)
NavarreBeachLife.com Moderator
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PensacolaKid
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Fri Aug 21, 2015 5:15 pm

The Gulf might just need a good cleansing. As long as it stays out in the middle and just spins and cools down everything. I suspect though, that will not be the case, even if it gets near the Gulf.
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